Uganda’s central bank has cut it’s benchmark policy rate for the third time in a row since April. Now the rate has gone down a further one percentage point to 14 per cent. A reduction in the Central Bank Rate (CBR) translates into lower interest rates on bank loans, Treasury bills and bonds, and interbank market borrowing.
The Bank of Uganda (BoU) Governor Emmanuel Tumusiime Mutebile made the announcement Monday, noting that the move is expected to support the recovery of the private sector credit and accelerate economic growth.
Prof Mutebile noted that inflation continues to drop, with BoU expecting it to stabilise around the policy target of 5 per cent over the next six months and thus a “continued easing of the monetary policy is warranted.”
“The near term look out for inflation has improved as a result of the recent stability of the exchange rate. Annual core inflation is now expected to converge to the medium term target of 5 per cent slightly faster than was anticipated during the last Monetary Policy Committee meeting held in June 2016,” said Prof Mutebile.
Since December last year, inflation has continued on a downward trend, with annual headline and core inflation declining to 5.1 per cent and 5.6 per cent respectively in July 2016 from 5.9 per cent and 6.8 respectively per cent the previous month.
“The stability of the exchange rate, lower fuel and subdued domestic demand have contributed to the gradual dampening of inflation pressures over the last seven months,” Mr Mutebile said at a Press conference at the Central Bank on Monday.
Despite the reduction in the CBR since April, commercial banks are yet to revise their lending rates downwards, with business people remaining sceptical about the impact of the policy rate cut. The lending rates offered to banks’ clients in Uganda averaged at 24.2 per cent in July.
“Of course you know I cannot instruct commercial banks to reduce interest rates. But I hope the banks can realise that by lowering the policy rate, we are indicating what should happen… usually the banks take several weeks…there is a lag,” Prof Mutebile said.
Uganda’s economy is projected to grow at about 5.5 per cent this year on the back of rising domestic demand.