Browsing: interest rates

• Central banks across Africa weighing interest rates in the next three weeks are poised to lower them, cautious that the opportunity to ease further may dissipate after President Trump formally assumes office.
• The Trump presidency is anticipated to strengthen the dollar further, primarily due to his commitment to significantly raising tariffs on imported goods.
• A new wave of inflation, driven by the strengthening dollar from the Trump effect, would exacerbate the already high inflation rates in many African countries.

Donald Trump’s return to the Whitehouse sent the dollar surging against both G10 and emerging market currencies in a change that has potentially far-reaching macroeconomic repercussions for African nations.

As Trump’s victory became evident, the “Trump Trade” pushed 10-year Treasury yields up by 0.16 per cent to 4.44 per cent. Meanwhile, the dollar index, which measures the dollar’s performance against a basket of major currencies, saw its largest single-day increase since …

• There is a debt crisis in Africa as countries struggle to repay international loans. 
• According to the World Bank, nine African countries entered 2024 in debt distress, with another 15 at high risk of distress and 14 more categorised as moderate risk.
• According to the United Nations, Africa’s public debt will stay above pre-pandemic levels in 2024 and 2025.

At 4 per cent, Africa is projected to be the second fastest-growing economic region in the world in 2024,  according to a report by the International Monetary Fund (IMF). However, behind the headline figure is a less optimistic reality.

Many African countries have suffered from slow post-COVID-19 recovery, climate change shocks, worsening food security situation, political instability, weak global growth, and high-interest rates. These economic shocks have pushed over 55 million people into poverty since 2020. The situation is increasingly alarming as more than half of the continent’s countries are in …

• Kenya’s economic resurgence in 2024 proving a reality following a notable upturn in recent months, marked by positive indicators across sectors.
• According to CBK, leading indicators point to the continued strong performance of the Kenyan economy in the first quarter of 2024.
• According to the World Bank, Kenya’s economic growth is projected to be 5.2 per cent, boosted by increased investment in the private sector as the government reduces its activities in the domestic credit market.

A strong rebound

Kenya’s economic prospects are looking brighter, attributed to the interventions by the World Bank and the International Monetary Fund, which have played a massive role in easing volatility witnessed less than three months ago.

Major economic indicators in the country show that confidence is slowly creeping back after the government secured the International Monetary Fund’s facility to pay back the Eurobond.

The repayments had triggered volatility in financial markets, including the …

• Following a slow recovery from the debilitating impact of COVID-19, Africa’s economic growth declined to an estimated 3.8 per cent in 2022 and later deteriorated to 3. (https://rescueresponse.com) 3 per cent in 2023.
• Africa is not immune to economic shocks and has recently faced a multi-crisis situation.
• African countries have posted more than 5 per cent output expansions in 2024.

Africas economic outlook

Before COVID-19, Africa experienced 20 years of solid growth and made tangible economic and social progress. However, the COVID crisis brought this progress to an abrupt halt, and many countries, which are under increasingly tight budget constraints, struggled to invest in essential sectors amidst recovering from the aftermath of the health crisis.

Following a slow recovery from the debilitating impact of COVID-19, Africa’s economic growth declined to an estimated 3.8 per cent in 2022 and later deteriorated to 3.3 per cent in 2023.

However, according …

• The Central Bank of Nigeria has decided to increase the minimum capital requirement for lenders to bolster the country’s economy.
• Nigerian banks now face weaker capital ratios and higher impaired loans.
• The last time Nigeria recapitalised its banking sector dates back to 2004.

Minimum capital requirement for lenders

Following the surge in inflation levels, a deteriorating economy, and the plummeting of the Naira, the CBN has decided to increase the minimum capital requirement for lenders to bolster the country’s economy.

Under the new regulations, the Central Bank of Nigeria has raised the capital threshold for international banks to $359 million …

• Kenya’s Eurobond will positively impact the exchange, inflation, and interest rates.
• Diamond Trust Bank revealed that Kenya’s $1.5 billion Eurobond attracted more than $6 billion in demand.
• Kenya’s $1.5 Billion Eurobond will also be used to offset $2billion Eurobond maturing in June. 

The issuance of Kenya’s $1.5 Billion Eurobond is likely to ease concerns about the debt situation and lift the overall outlook for the country, one of the country’s banking industry players has said.

Diamond Trust Bank revealed that the new $1.5 billion Eurobond, which attracted demand of more than $6 billion, is likely to positively affect the exchange rate, inflation, interest rates, and government spending in the payment of debts and development.

Speaking at DTB’s Economic and Sustainability Forum, the bank’s Group CEO and Managing Director Nasim Devji said the recovery will be felt more in the second half of the year, and the economy will grow …

• Non-performing loans in Kenya surged to a 16-year high of 15 per cent in August 2023.
• The Kenya Bankers Association had called for further monetary policy tightening by the CBK, terming it a cure to elevated non-performing loans.
• According to the CBK data, forex pressure cut lending to the private sector to 8.3 per cent during the review period.

The banking sector regulator has said that Kenya’s private sector players resorted to alternative funding sources to avoid the high lending rates, leading to a drop in non-performing loans during the holiday season.

The continued surge in bank interest rates has hit individuals and businesses hard on the back of the Central Bank of Kenya’s (CBK) elevated benchmark interest rate. This has happened thrice since Governor Kamau Thugge took office, citing the need to support the country’s struggling shilling.

On Tuesday this week, the Central Bank of Kenya increased the benchmark …

The United Nations (UN) has called for major reforms for two institutions considered key players in the new world order. Antonio Guterres, the UN secretary-general, is pushing for major changes in the IMF and the World Bank.

According to Guterres, the International Monetary Fund has profited the rich nations at the expense of the developing ones. The UN secretary-general describes the response by IMF and the World Bank towards the COVID-19 pandemic as a “glaring failure” that left most developing nations significantly indebted.…

• Economic experts are of the view that the banking crisis that spooked investors and sent shockwaves around the world could ultimately be beneficial for global financial markets.
•  DeVere Group CEO Nigel Green says banking crisis could ultimately prove to be beneficial for global markets. 
•  The emergency lifelines being thrown to banks by regulators and governments, among others, appear to have now halted contagion within the sector.

The banking crisis that spooked investors and sent shock waves around the world could ultimately be beneficial for global financial markets.

This is according to Nigel Green, the CEO and founder deVere Group, one of the world’s largest independent financial advisory, asset management and fintech organizations who says the banking crisis could trigger a vital intervention from governments to stabilise the markets.

Green says the emergency lifelines being thrown to banks by regulators and governments, among others, appear to have now halted contagion within …