Author: Kevin Odero

US trade barriers 2026: As Washington extends AGOA but preserves punitive tariffs, Africa’s agricultural exporters are caught in a pincer. With the 2026 deadline looming, a survival strategy is emerging, not from Geneva or Pretoria, but from the cold stores of Citrusdal and the shea cooperatives of Ibadan. The mechanics of survival in the lucrative United States market have, for African agricultural exporters, become brutally simple. A South African orange grower sending citrus to Newark pays 30 per cent at the border. His counterpart in Chile, unloading identical navel oranges at the same New Jersey pier, pays 10 per cent.…

With $194 billion in proposed green hydrogen projects but only 17MW operational, which African hub offers bankable returns? Here is a data-driven contrast of Namibia, South Africa, and Kenya ahead of the Green Economy Summit Cape Town. For the past three years, the competition to crown Africa’s green hydrogen champion has resembled a high-stakes bidding war conducted entirely in press releases. National strategies were unfurled with great ceremony. Megaprojects were announced in multiples of billions. European energy ministers flew south to sign memoranda of understanding with such frequency that the documents began to resemble diplomatic souvenirs rather than binding financial…

An indepth analysis of five sectors positioned for asymmetric upside post-Uganda elections, quantifying the opportunity using granular EPRC index data, and providing institutional investors with a sequenced entry framework. For much of the past twelve months, Uganda’s private sector operated under a state of suspended animation. Contract awards stalled. Bank credit tightened. Cross-border freight diverted. And by December 2025, the Economic Policy Research Centre’s (EPRC) flagship Business Climate Index had registered its first sub-50 contractions since the depths of the COVID-19 emergency. The narrative, in boardrooms from Nairobi to London, was simple: elections pause economies. Investors wait. Activity resumes. Mean…

Can the Private Sector Save Agenda 2063? Inside the high-stakes shift at the 11th – 15th February 2026 AU Summit. The central question haunting the halls of the African Union headquarters is no longer whether the private sector should participate, but whether it is now the only force capable of moving Agenda 2063 from the realm of aspirational prose into the reality of profitable infrastructure. The 39th AU Summit in Addis Ababa will not be remembered for its diplomatic communiqués or the choreographed handshakes of heads of state. Instead, history will likely record the 11th to 15th February 2026 meeting…

For SMEs in East Africa, currency fluctuations can be a double-edged sword. Direct impacts include changes in the cost of imports and exports, while indirect effects can influence demand for products and overall economic confidence. Understanding the impact of currency fluctuations on SMEs in East Africa is crucial for business owners aiming to ensure long-term sustainability and growth. In today’s global market, the financial stability of small and medium-sized enterprises (SMEs) is deeply intertwined with the dynamics of currency exchange rates. For East African SMEs, this interrelation is particularly critical due to the region’s economic volatility and frequent currency fluctuations.…

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The IMF has identified South Sudan, Burundi, and the DRC as East African Community member states poised for significant economic growth in the 2024–2025 period. GDP growth in Burundi is projected to increase from 4.3 to 5.4 percent and in the DRC from 4.7 to 5.7%. Kenya leads regionally with a projected GDP of $104 billion, ranking 7th overall among the continent’s largest economies. The economic outlook for East African Community member states South Sudan, Burundi, and the Democratic Republic of the Congo (DRC) is poised for significant economic growth in the 2024–2025 period. This prognosis by the International Monetary…

The proposed AGOA extension signals a commitment to bolstering trade relations between the US and Africa. US Senators Chris Coons and James Risch have introduced the bipartisan Agoa Renewal and Improvement Act of 2024, aiming to integrate AGOA with the AfCFTA. Bill aims to refine AGOA’s eligibility criteria, increase transparency, and hold US agencies accountable for their advice to the president: Senator Risch AGOA extension proposal The US Congress has proposed extending the African Growth and Opportunity Act (Agoa) to 2041, covering all 54 African countries. Senators Chris Coons of Delaware and James Risch of Idaho introduced the bipartisan Agoa…